Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.232783 1.454609 1.685930 1.943670 2.221421 2.510449 2.832697
2025-01-26 0.959316 1.278048 1.630414 2.042469 2.505333 3.004183 3.577681
2025-02-02 0.837217 1.212233 1.643020 2.161851 2.758711 3.414411 4.180418
2025-02-09 0.750907 1.172959 1.674420 2.293424 3.019260 3.828591 4.785614
2025-02-16 0.660503 1.112981 1.668438 2.369847 3.206425 4.151334 5.280240
2025-02-23 0.562833 1.030746 1.625430 2.393853 3.325772 4.391415 5.676921
2025-03-02 0.440422 0.899349 1.508599 2.317710 3.317939 4.477567 5.891349
2025-03-09 0.333444 0.773829 1.387679 2.226722 3.284213 4.526945 6.057586
2025-03-16 0.259617 0.685626 1.307842 2.180650 3.299287 4.628994 6.280673
2025-03-23 0.220944 0.647412 1.293013 2.215853 3.412668 4.846590 6.638013
2025-03-30 0.179581 0.597436 1.256949 2.219595 3.484063 5.011803 6.932010
2025-04-06 0.136657 0.535634 1.198157 2.188724 3.508522 5.117825 7.153816
2025-04-13 0.123674 0.533191 1.232517 2.291396 3.712543 5.453485 7.663232
2025-04-20 0.113585 0.535479 1.274388 2.405639 3.933497 5.812592 8.204322
2025-04-27 0.107429 0.544927 1.326671 2.533750 4.171847 6.192566 8.769928
2025-05-04 0.104540 0.561340 1.390053 2.677776 4.431475 6.599536 9.369033
2025-05-11 0.092083 0.552137 1.410805 2.760584 4.610510 6.906524 9.847436
2025-05-18 0.073009 0.520928 1.393035 2.786751 4.713996 7.119036 10.211145
2025-05-25 0.044437 0.450117 1.302754 2.703981 4.670253 7.145749 10.347600
2025-06-01 0.022353 0.379737 1.205166 2.604991 4.600760 7.137035 10.438192
2025-06-08 0.010668 0.332333 1.143053 2.554801 4.593715 7.204226 10.618872
2025-06-15 0.006515 0.316715 1.139522 2.593153 4.707019 7.424123 10.987376
2025-06-22 0.002643 0.291538 1.114784 2.597227 4.772256 7.582063 11.279022